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2024-12-14 10:35:35

China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.Internal notice of Extreme Vietnam: The social security accumulation fund has been paid successfully in November, and the company's financial status may not be paid normally in December. According to the internal staff of Extreme Vietnam, the internal notice issued by Extreme Vietnam said that the social security accumulation fund and individual tax in Shanghai, Beijing and Zhejiang, which everyone is concerned about at present, have just been paid successfully thanks to the strong support of shareholders of Baidu and Geely. Please believe that the company is doing its best to tide over the difficulties with you. However, the notice also mentioned, "We are still very sorry about the problem in December. The company's book cash has bottomed out, and according to the relevant regulations of social security, December 13 is the final time limit for operating social security downsizing. If you miss the window period, the social security accumulation fund in December will not be paid in your own name. Colleagues who choose not to downsize may face the same problem next month. "(Sina Technology)The Emergency Management Department made unannounced visits to inspect enterprises involved in dust explosion. Recently, the Emergency Management Department sent a working group to carry out unannounced visits to enterprises in key industries of industry and trade in Henan and Guangxi without greeting, accompanying reception and preparing materials, so as to promote the key areas of industry and trade to do a good job in the investigation and rectification of potential safety hazards in industry and trade this winter and next spring. It was found that some enterprises involved in dust explosion did not take explosion prevention and control measures, did not set up gas lock and ash unloading devices, did not set up spark detection and elimination devices, and did not implement dust cleaning system.


District 9 of Beijing issued a gale warning. At present, Huairou, Yanqing, Changping, Haidian, Mentougou, Fangshan, Chaoyang, Pinggu and Shijingshan have issued a blue gale warning signal. Today, the wind-cold effect is obvious, and the body feels cold. We should pay attention to wind and cold protection, and stay away from temporary structures such as billboards and tall trees, and do a good job in outdoor aerial work.On the 13th, the European futures of the container freight index rose by 7.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the European futures of the main contract container freight index closed at 2502, up or down by +7.03%, with a turnover of 41,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 3,022 lots. A total of 78,900 lots of European futures contracts were traded, an increase of 8,599 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 25,100 lots, an increase of 466 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 22,100 lots, a decrease of 120 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Meijin Energy has set up a new coal washing company with 100 million yuan. According to the enterprise investigation APP, Shanxi Meijin Taiyue Coal Washing Co., Ltd. was recently established, with Wu Yong as the legal representative and a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Its business scope includes: coal washing; Sales of coal and products; Coal-based activated carbon and other coal processing. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by Meijin Energy.


Market News: The Bank of Japan will consider not raising interest rates at its next policy meeting.On the 13th, the No.20 rubber fell by 2.05%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract No.20 rubber 2502 was closed, with a turnover of 159,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 5,142 lots. A total of 205,200 lots were traded in the No.20 rubber futures contract, an increase of 8,176 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 84,200 lots, an increase of 812 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 94,500 lots, a decrease of 1,708 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The concept of first-round economy continued to increase the daily limit of more than 10 constituent stocks, and the concept of first-round economy continued to increase in intraday trading. Media games, IP economy, performing arts and travel, and Meta-Universe all rose well. More than 10 constituent stocks such as Aofei Entertainment, Lisheng Sports, Dafeng Industry, Tianxiaxiu, and Roman shares rose by more than 10%.

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